also available at www.SethSpeaks.net -
Yesterday, I invited readers to e-mail me some True or False, or Yes or No, questions. Several people took me up on the offer, so here are their questions, with my responses:
What is OPS and how is it figured.
I use it often and really have never taken a step back to explain what it is. Simply stated, OPS = (On Base Percentage) Plus (Slugging Percentage). Basically it is admitting that Batting Average means very little. What is important are how often you get on base, and when you do get hits, how many total bases are there. This statistic combines those things. It’s a nice summary statistic, but like all other stats, it is just one measure. I still like to look at the slash stats (BA/OBP/SLG) because looking at those three numbers says a lot. For a hitter like Denard Span, I’m not terribly concern about his power output, but I will take most note o his on base percentage.
If a team, say the Twins, signs a big time free agent. What is the chance that free agent draws enough extra tickets to cover most of their salary? Brett Favre is a great example for the Vikings. But say the Twins had signed Mark Texiera last season for 15 million per, how many more tickets would have been sold and revenue generated by that? Is it not even measurable? The Yankees reported that after trading for and extended A-Rod that they sold so many thousand season tickets in a week and that made the contract seem light. What are your thoughts?
That is a tough question. I mean, doesn’t Yankees Stadium sell out either way? Where are all these extra fans sitting? Whereas the Vikings have had trouble with blackouts in the past, and the signing of Favre means that should not be a problem again. My personal opinion is that the Twins would not have many more fans with Teixeira on the roster than they do now, so certainly they would not gain an extra $15 million by signing him.
From Topper Anton:
T or F: Nick Punto is the starting shortstop next year.
There is not a worse player in the American League. (Looking at VORP, only Aubrey Huff ranks lower than Punto.) I personally think that the Twins should release Punto and eat the $4 million or so that he is owed for 2010. The reality is that if he is around next year, Gardy will find a way to keep playing himself. That’s why the best thing to do would be to release him and protect Gardy from himself. That said, I will hope False, but I will say True.
From Topper Anton:
T or F: All 5 original starters from this year break camp in the rotation again for 2010.
T or F: True or false: The Twins rotation for next year will include at least 4 of current starters (Liriano, Perkins, Slowey, Blackburn, & Baker)
Topper, False. Dean, True. I believe that to start the 2010 season, Scott Baker, Kevin Slowey, Francisco Liriano and Nick Blackburn should get another chance. That leaves the final starting spot open for a veteran, Glen Perkins, Anthony Swarzak, Kevin Mulvey, Jeff Manship or others.
T or F: The Twins rotating outfield of Cuddyer, Gomez, Span, and Young will stay in tact for the 2010 season.
Wow, that is a great question. I am going to say false. I think they need to do something. What? I’m not sure, and frankly, I don’t know that there is really a ‘right’ answer to this dilemma.
T or F: We will see Liriano working from the bullpen going forward. It’s evident that he still has the stuff (and at rare times, domination) to make him an effective big league pitcher, however his apparent lack of sustained focus and control could have him much better suited for relief work.
False, but I do agree with your reasoning. I think that they need to shut him down for the year, and if he comes back this year, maybe he should be in the bullpen. But I do think that he’s got the stamina to start, and I think you have to give him one more shot.
I would have thought improbable at the start of the year but are the Yankees going to win the World Series?
I would put their odds at 25% As you know, I believe that the playoffs are kind of a crap shoot. Eight teams make the playoffs, so I would put their odds of winning the World Series at 12.5% However, as they will likely win the AL East, they will probably play the AL Central champion in the first round. That means that they will be in the final four teams, which is why I put their odds at 25%
Should the Twins acquire Jon Garland?
I’m all for a veteran innings eater, but I would rather have someone who pitches well for those innings. And, I would think the Twins could get two veteran innings eaters for Garland’s 2010 salary of $10 million.
MINOR LEAGUE REPORT
Thursday – SethSpeaks.net Hitter of the Day – Wilson Ramos, New Britain Rockcats
Thursday – SethSpeaks.net Pitcher of the Day – Santos Arias, Ft. Myers Miracle
Thursday – Rochester 5, Pawtucket 3 – The Red Wings got two walks to start the top of the ninth, and those were followed by four runs on four hits to give the Red Wings the lead. Dustin Martin went 2-3 with a walk and his 23rd stolen base. Danny Valencia went 2-4. R.A. Dickey went six shutout innings before giving up two runs (1 earned) in the 7th. Tim Lahey gave up a run on two hits in the 8th inning. With the lead, Anthony Slama got the ball and recorded his first AAA save with a perfect ninth.
Thursday – New Britain 7, Binghamton 2 – Deolis Guerra improved to 6-2 on this game. He gave up two runs (1 earned) on five hits. He walked none and struck out six. Spencer Steedley went the inal 2.1 innings, allowing no runs on two hits and a walk. Wilson Ramos went 3-4 with a walk. Brian Dinkelman hit his 36th double and his eighth home run. Steve Singleton was 2-4 with his eighth double. Whit Robbins went 1-2 with two walks.
Thursday – Ft. Myers 3, Charlotte 5 – Santos Arias had another strong start. He went the first eight innings and gave up three runs on seven hits. He walked none and struck out four. Henry Arias gave up two runs on two hits and a walk in the 9th inning. Evan Bigley went 2-3 with his 22nd double. Alejandro Machado went 2-4.
Thursday – Beloit 5, Kane County 1 – Ramon Santana went 2-3 with a walk, his ninth home run and his sixth stolen base. Aaron Hicks went 2-3 with a walk and his sixth and seventh stolen bases. James Beresford went 2-4 with his14th steal. Bruce Pugh started and went the first 4.2 innings. He gave up one unearned run on four hits. He walked three and struck out eight. Thomas Wright came in and went 2.1 innings in which he allowed only a walk. Winston Marquez and Steve Blevins each worked a scoreless inning.
Thursday – Elizabethton, Pulaski – Postponed by Rain.
GCL TWINS GOINGS ON
Thursday – GCL Twins 2, GCL Red Sox 5 – Adrian Salcedo started and gave up three unearned runs on four hits in 6.2 innings. He walked none and struck out six. Nelvin Fuentes came in and got he final out of the 7th inning, but not until he allowed two more runs to score. Jhon Gonzalez struck out two in a perfect inning. Oswaldo Arcia went 2-4 with his second triple. The G-Twins managed just five hits.
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