SethSpeaks.net Top 50 Twins Prospects: Part 1 (36-50)

19 Oct

also available at www.SethSpeaks.net -

Good morning Twins Fans. Thanks as always for stopping by this site. Normally, I have my Top 50 Twins prospects ready and made in mid-September, shortly following the end of the minor league seasons. So, I apologize for being a little late. But that is alright. I have had more time to give it some thought. Several things have been updated, a player or two signed. So, this is a good time to update my Top 50 Prospect lists. With the TwinsCentric Offseason GM Handbook now available, my attention quickly turns to the Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook – 2010. I hope for that book to be available either in late December or early January, certainly before Twins Fest.

There are many purposes for doing a Top 50 prospect list. Will all fifty of these guys make the Twins roster at some point? Of course not. I gave some thought, due to my schedule of late, of just doing a Top 20 list. But I fully believe that all of the minor leaguers deserve to be recognized. They all work incredibly hard to get to where the big leaguers are, so they should be noticed as well.  Also, these types of lists are fun because they can create discussion on these players and others. I encourage your thoughts. The Twins do generally build from within, so more than other organizations, these types of lists can provide a little incite into which players can help the Twins out in coming years.  With that, in the next days, I will continue to work my way up the Twins prospect list until finally giving you my selections for the Top 10 Twins prospects. I hope you enjoy this and again, please feel free to comment.

(Please note – for the bios/details on each of these players, you will need to go to www.SethSpeaks.net)

#50 – Shooter Hunt – RHP – 23 (8/16/86) 

#49 – Joe Testa – LH RP – 23 (12/18/85)

#48 – Reggie Williams – IF – 21 (11/5/88)

#47 – Brad Tippett – RHP – 21 (2/11/88)

#46 – Winston Marquez – LHP – 22 (8/19/87)

#45 – James Beresford – SS – 20 (1/19/89)

#44 – Deibinson Romero – 3B – 23 (9/24/86)

#43 – Evan Bigley – OF – 21 (3/9/87)

#42 – Derek McCallum – 2B – 21 (3/22/88)

#41 – Liam Hendriks – RHP – 20 (2/10/89)

#40 – Brian Dozier – SS – 22 (5/15/87)

#39 – Chris Herrmann – OF/C – 22 (11/24/87)

#38 – Steve Hirschfeld – RHP – 24 (9/8/85)

#37 – Ramon Santana – 3B/SS – 23 (6/20/86)

#36 – Rob Delaney – RH RP – 25 (9/8/84)

 So there you have it, my selections for Twins prospects 36-50. Be sure to check back tomorrow for my choices for #21-35, and later in the week, you will also get my Top 20. If you have any feedback, comments, opinions or suggestions, please feel free to Send me an e-mail, or leave your questions or comments here.

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18 Responses to “SethSpeaks.net Top 50 Twins Prospects: Part 1 (36-50)”

  1. roger October 19, 2009 at 7:15 am #

    Good morning Seth, Two players that I would rank higher are Testa and Beresford. I had Testa graded out as having the 6th best season of any player in the organization. Absolutely great year. Yes, he is a reliever but has been very, very good. Beresford is young (20) and had a very good year at Beloit. Does he need to be ahead of players like McCallum? Is younger, had a better season at a higher level? Liked where you put Hunt. Gotta have him on the list with his ability, yet, a real question. I hope that 2010 is a complete turn around for him.

  2. Han Joelo October 19, 2009 at 7:53 am #

    Thanks Seth. I’d been thinking about Liriano and how he exploded onto the scene and was wondering if the Twins had any hard throwing lefty starters in the pipeline, and voila, I read about Marquez. I hadn’t given him much thought. Definitely some eye-popping SO numbers, but shaky control. Still, I can see him being a guy taken in the Rule V. I always wonder, why didn’t the Astros (?) protect Santana? Then you see the complications of the 40 man decisions.

    What are the repercussions of taking Romero off the 40 man for the time being–would he have to pass waivers?

  3. Seth October 19, 2009 at 9:15 am #

    Joe Testa was absolutely incredible this year. The strikeout rate was great. And yeah, the Reliever thing is still something I’m working on. But as you’ll see in these rankings, there are a few.

    Maybe Beresford could be ahead of McCallum. Beresford seems very solid, but McCallum has much more pop in his bat. But yeah, the age/level of competition thing is backward in my ranking, but I don’t worry much about first year stats in a half season.

    Marquez is a guy I’m intrigued by. I do like the K-rate, but he just hasn’t been healthy. Not certain what his ceiling is. He could fly up the chart next year, or he could be out of the organization too.

    If the Twins took Romero off the 40 man roster, he would have to pass through waivers, and he almost certainly wouldn’t. He’s got two option years left, so someone will take a flyer on someone with that talent.

  4. gobbledygookguy October 19, 2009 at 4:01 pm #

    Sickels has his Twins top 20 out.

    http://www.minorleagueball.com/

  5. Bill in Sarasota October 19, 2009 at 8:45 pm #

    I think your infatuation of Ks has propelled Marquez over Tippett. Often a wild pitcher will have more Ks because hitters want to make him throw strikes and therefore will occasionally fall behind in the count. Whereas hitters will be aggressive vs. a control pitcher.

    Ks are more relevant with a low WHIP.

  6. John October 19, 2009 at 9:58 pm #

    What about Mark Dolenc? How far down the list would he be after putting up pretty good numbers this year? He is a little old for A ball but statistically he compares well with Joe Benson and Evan Bigley and outperforming Chris Parmelee.

  7. Han Joelo October 19, 2009 at 10:58 pm #

    Marquez showed improvement on his walk rate after his SSS (small sample size) promotion to Beloit. Is he playing winter ball somewhere?

    I have utmost respect for Sickel’s scouting/rating, but I have a hard time getting into it. Too many apples and oranges being compared. Last year we were debating the merits of a high ceiling prospect like Hicks or Morales vs. a closer, lower ceiling guy like Valencia. Now the Twins have thrown Sano and Kepler into the mix, along with a college pitcher like Gibson who could possibly be within striking distance of the majors even at the end of next season—how do you differentiate on Grade B player from another?

    At any rate, I like the top fifty system. I’m far too lazy to do my own; I’d be regurgitating everybody else. Whether a guy is #48 or #46 doesn’t matter as much as the context.

  8. Matt October 20, 2009 at 1:48 am #

    I would have Hunt higher than 50. I think he has the highest ceiling of any prospect pitcher in the system. I know he had a putrid year and I would not have him ranked very high, but i think 50 is too low. There are going to be a ton of guys from 50-20 or so that don’t have a great chance of making it to the majors and have a pretty low ceiling so there impact is likely to be pretty minimal. Shooter’s chance of making the majors at this point looks minimal but his impact if he figures out his control could be as great as any prospect the twins have.

  9. roger October 20, 2009 at 6:34 am #

    John, I had Doloenc ranked #34 this season (amongst position players only). Parmalee was #9, Benson #23. These are based on their performance this season…not prospect rankings. Dolenc has done a nice job for the Twins and continues to show that he could eventually develop into a big leaguer.

  10. danimals October 20, 2009 at 8:30 am #

    Hey Seth,

    Thanks for all of your good hard work. It’s a pleasure to read and gives me another way to enjoy the Twins – following their prospects up and actually knowing something about them before they get here!!

    Thanks again!

  11. mike wants wins October 20, 2009 at 10:44 am #

    Is the Delaney rating related to his age, and that he still isn’t in the majors, or his secondary metrics and what it indicates about his ability to get outs.

  12. TT October 20, 2009 at 10:55 am #

    The problem with Hunt is that I can’t think of a single pitcher who came back from “Steve Blass disease”. Its been 100% fatal to their pitching careers. Even at 50, you probably still have overrated him at this point. He just isn’t a prospect until he shows he can pitch the ball over (or at least near) the plate.

  13. Mark October 20, 2009 at 5:02 pm #

    How do you have parmelee rated so much higher than Benson based on the years performance roger. Parmalee .258/.349/.441 Benson .285/.414/.403. Benson is also a better defensive player than parmelee. Parmelee is probably the better prospect but I would argue that Benson had a better year. Benson’s increased BB rate certainly moved him up my prospect list.

  14. john October 20, 2009 at 5:13 pm #

    I think hunt should be higher. The majority of these prospects are interchangeable and unlikely to have any impact at the mlb level. Unless you believe Hunt has essentially 0 chance of turning his control around I think he should be higher than nothing LOOGY prospects, utility infielders and potential 5th starters up to about 25 on the prospect list. I think seth believe there is little chance of shooter turning it around and just put him on the list to keep people aware of him because he has so much potential.

  15. TT October 20, 2009 at 7:04 pm #

    John -

    I think in practical terms Hunt has no chance. As I said above, when has someone recovered from Steve Blass disease? With that track record, you could put any player drafted in the last three years ahead of him. Even a few players drafted after the 50th round make it to the big leagues.

  16. John October 20, 2009 at 11:58 pm #

    Hunt is cooked, not even a prospect at this point. I would have Hendriks at least 20-25 spots higher; he has a good sinking fastball, promising offspeed pitches, and solid control. He pitched well in the MWL at a young age despite limited previous experience.

    A few of the guys here are just organizational players or have questionable ceilings. I would go with rookie ballers that have potential, even though they are long-shots to reach it, over AAAA types (e.g., Hirschfeld).

  17. john October 20, 2009 at 11:59 pm #

    I cant site any examples of people over coming an inability to throw strikes but I would bet people have. They just don’t receive the publicity of a talented pitcher completely losing it. There are certainly examples of pitchers with terrible control early in there careers getting better. Giving a guy who has throw strikes in the past no chance of finding the plate simply because no one recovers from “Steve Blass disease” seems far fetched to me and too over simplified. My point I believe his potential and upside should vault ahead of marginal to bad prospect on this list ahead of him. If things bad for shooter then he’ll never make it to the twins and wont be able to help them. If this go well he could be a really good reliever or top end starter. If thing go average to good for joe testa he probably never plays for the twins and if things go poorly he certainly wont. If things go great for testa hes probably and average to bad loogy for a short period with the twins. Is joe testa more likely to play for the twins at this point? Maybe, but if he is its not by much, neither is particularly likely to help the twins (and the same goes for most of the players on this like till about prospects 15-20). At least with shooter the pay off is huge if things do go his way.

  18. sandy morales October 29, 2009 at 3:15 pm #

    What about Juan Portes?

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