Site Update and Baseball Topics

15 Dec

Good morning everyone,
Please bear with me for a little bit as things at work and in my writing world are more than crazy these days. Between the next TwinsCentric project, the Seth Speaks.net Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook – 2010, and a project with FoxSports, it’s rather hectic. Deadlines are fast approaching in all of the above. I will try my best to keep you updated on Twins news and other information.

For those of you who might be interested, I will be on The Fan 710 radio in Bismark, ND, this morning at 11:00 a.m. to talk about the Hot Stove League. It’s always a great time to talk baseball with Jack Michaels. So, if you’re in central North Dakota, tune in 710 on your am dial. Otherwise, check it out live online.

Tonight (Tuesday) at 9:00 central will be the SethSpeaks.net Weekly Minnesota Twins podcast. We will talk Twins minor league prospectus with Kevin Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus, who posted his Top 11 Twins Prospects last week. Other guests are in the works as well, so check out the show.

Quickly, the Twins received righty relieve Chris Province from the Red Sox in exchange for Boof Bonser. Province had a solid year in AA. He played on the same Mesa team in the Arizona Fall League a the Twins prospects. His strikeout numbers are not terribly impressive. However, apparently his sinker is just an incredible pitch that darts in on right-handed hitters and he gets a ton of ground balls. More bullpen depth for the Twins.

Remember last week, I mentioned a few times that big moves rarely happen at the Winter Meetings, but a lot of talking is done so don’t be surprised if a lot happens early this week. Well, I would say that was pretty much the case. Roy Halladay appears to be on his way to the Phillies. Cliff Lee is headed out the Mariners. Phillipe Aumont may or may not be part of the deal. I tried to see if his Facebook Wall said anything, but it was in French, so I couldn’t tell. Then Kyle Drabek may be heading to Toronto. I think the lesson in that rumored deal is that, until the deal is nearly official, it isn’t worth analyzing because it can change so much. Early in the day, I think the Phillies were getting a great deal. Now, I’m not so certain. Seattle is being called the big winner, but we shall see.

John Lackey and Mike Cameron appear to be headed to the Red Sox. Lackey will get big money. Cameron will get two years and $18 million, but where will he play? He doesn’t seem to make as much sense in LF as CF, but Jacoby Ellsbury is there, and Jeremy Hermida just came to the team in a trade last month and JD Drew probably isn’t going anywhere, so what will happen? Just a thought, but how about Ellsbury, Clay Buchholz, Casey Kotchman and two minor leaguers of note to San Diego for Adrian Gonzalez? Kevin Youklis can go back over to 3B since Mike Lowell will be undergoing surgery and then may or may not be traded.

Some teams are starting to announce their non-roster invitees to spring training. I would think the Twins will be doing that shortly as well. That should be an interesting list.

Where is Jason Bay going? Mariners? Mets? Angels? I would think the Angels will have to trade Gary Matthews before they could acquire Bay, especially now that Hideki Matsui has signed with them.

How about Matt Holliday? Do you think he’ll be able to get $100 million? Is it St. Louis? Or will the Yankees make a play for him?

Who has the best 1-2 punch at the top of their rotation (assuming the Mariners/Blue Jays/Phillies trade goes through)? Seattle could boast Feliz Hernandez and Cliff Lee. San Francisco has Cain and Lincecum. The Phillies would have Halladay and Hamels or Happ? The Red Sox would have Lackey and Beckett (or Matsuzaka)? The Yankees have Sabathia and Burnett? The Royals have Greinke and whoever you want to call their #2 pitcher? The Cardinals have Carpenter and Wainright?

Alright, that should be enough to start some baseball discussion, so be sure to leave your comments below. Again, thank you for your continued support of me and this site, and now for your patience. Have a great day!

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12 Responses to “Site Update and Baseball Topics”

  1. j-sin December 15, 2009 at 10:15 am #

    Of course we would all love the Twins to have 2 great pitchers. Heck, I would love them to have 5 great pitchers. That’s not necessarily a wise investment, especially if you have two ace-type pitchers in their prime-earning years. I’m okay with the Twins having 5-6 guys who are projected #2-3 starters. What would make this team a WS contender is if we have some kind of rookie (like we had Liriano 2-3 yrs ago) who provides that extra dominant pitcher while not being too expensive. We need a solid lineup around M&M and Kubes and Cuddy, with a solid defense, and we’ll hope to have 4-5 solid pitchers by the end of the year. If your big ace gets injured, which is more likely than a position player, that’s a big sink in salary on a volatile position. That’s why we could afford to offer Johan more than 5 years.

    • j-sin December 15, 2009 at 10:16 am #

      sorry, “could NOT offer Johan”

  2. mike wants wins December 15, 2009 at 10:22 am #

    Interesting day. It’s hard to judge the big trade yet, as we don’t know which minor leaguers are going where. But:

    1. Toronto needed to deal him, and they needed to get more than the Twins did (and it appears they did by about 10000000000 miles, Drabek could start next year – meaning they get what appears to be an actual starting pitcher from year 1).

    2. Philly must not have thought it could sign Lee, or, they are getting almost as much back form the Ms as they are sending Toronto. Otherwise, they blew through a lot of money in the coming year (or, they really, really like Halliday more than Lee).

    3. Seattle has stolen the Angels’ 3B, and added a very good/great starting pitcher. They appear to have kept their best minor league pitching prospect also. IF they weren’t so dedicated to the Griffey stupidity, they could get a real DH and be the favorite in that division. Even with that stupidity, they could be the favorite. They won 85 games, and upgraded at 3B and starting pitching. Really, if they had a legit DH, you could reasonably expect 90 wins (especially with the Angels losing Lackey and Figgins).

    4. And, the rich just keep buying players. Where are all the defenders of baseball being competitive when the Red Sox buy the best FA? Let’s see what else the Sox add/lose, and what they Yankees do (in addition to adding Granderson).

    5. The Angels paid a reasonable price for their new DH. There are times when GMs look almost smart….and then there are teams like the Royals paying $3MM per year for an old catcher.

    6. If the Royals wanted to win 75+ games next year, they could sign 3 guys that were non-tendered over the weekend for about $5-7MM total (probably a lot less, actually), and be much better (and not much older, if any older at all). Guys that can catch the ball, and kind of hit. But, what are the odds that they will follow the Rays’ and Mariners’ paths? slim? none?

  3. Han Joelo December 15, 2009 at 10:36 am #

    Here’s hoping Slowey develops into an ace, Baker keeps the ball down, Blackburn stays one step ahead, and the young, Liriano type pitcher that emerges is…Liriano.

    If not, a 1-2 of Gibson and Salcedo, circa 2014, will look pretty good.

  4. j-sin December 15, 2009 at 10:59 am #

    Han, I’m with you, man. Right on. Unfortunately Slowey doesn’t have dominating stuff, he just limits the damage.

  5. gobbledygookguy December 15, 2009 at 10:59 am #

    serious question:
    seattle tv market size and population nearly equal to the tc area. both markets in the 13-15 ranking both tv and pop.
    attendance in 2009 twins about 200,000 plus.
    payrolls:
    07; twins 71,500, m’s 106,500
    08; twins 57,000, m’s 118,000
    09; twins 69,000. m’s 99,000
    according to cott’s.
    twins owners are worth more so it isn’t resources.
    is it the stadium? twins drew more fans. is it just the frugality of the owners? any ideas? even if the m’s make some bad signings, (silva) they do seem to be trying harder to improve.

  6. mike wants wins December 15, 2009 at 11:09 am #

    http://www.forbes.com/lists/2009/33/baseball-values-09_The-Business-Of-Baseball_Rank.html

    According to this, Seattle had about $31MM more in revenue than the Twins in 2008.

    The M’s had operating income of around $4MM, and the Twins had income of $26.8MM.

    Make youre own judgements.

  7. mike wants wins December 15, 2009 at 11:23 am #

    My comment:

    2008: They were way under budget in 08. Way. Not even close. They could have added a player, or two, that were decent, but chose not to.

    2009: They upped it in ’09, and did add salary during the year. They probably should have added a real bullpen arm at the beginning of the year, and not waited until August. They also passed on the more expensive Sanchez to get OCab. So, they did up it, and they did add salary during the year, but I’m not convinced things really changed.

    2010: They traded a prospect for a higher paid prospect/in his prime (though he struggled last year) player. This is a change of direction. They also need to sign Mauer, so they need some room in the budget. They also signed Pavano. This was a change in direction. None of that will matter in the publics’ eye if they don’t sign Mauer.

  8. Joel Thingvall December 15, 2009 at 11:52 am #

    Province will be a nice add to the mix. But, will he start the season in the Rochester bullpen or New Britain. Just the fact that he played in Arizona made him a potential 40-man prospect. Yes, its usually about 80% of the guys make 40-man, but that is a ncie pick for Boof.

    Now the Red Sox will have to carry Boof in their bullpen, come 2010, right? Otherwise, he goes back thru waivers and any team willing to keep him on their 40-man and pay the now $650,000 could grab him, right?

  9. m&m December 15, 2009 at 3:27 pm #

    Is it just me or were the Twins the second biggest winners from last nights trade, behind the Mariners of course. We have the division locked up, so do the Yankees, and now the Mariners look like favorites. The wild card will be one of three teams from the west or Boston. As long as the Twins sweep the AAA teams in the Central we can get the 2 seed, and avoid the Yankees. Then we pray that the Mariners win the division because with their pitching they might just be able to beat the Yankees in a 5 game series. Mariners-Twins will be a winnable series with home-field advantage. Bring on the Phillies. I know this is too far in advance, but seriously the division is a lock.

  10. B Dubz December 15, 2009 at 10:03 pm #

    Best part of Seth’s post:

    “So, if you’re in central North Dakota, tune in 710 on your am dial.”

  11. tedro33 December 16, 2009 at 6:54 am #

    Where are the updated standings from your NFL group GOING TO BE POSTED?

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