Prediction Time!

7 Feb

This is the hardest time of the year to be a baseball fan. At least it is for me. I actually really enjoy the offseason. I love hearing rumors, and trying to think about what the Twins could do, and what they will do. Who will they sign? Will there be a trade? From the end of the World Series until about the middle of January, it is fun. Then there is the Twins Winter Caravan which is a great time, followed by the weekend of Twins Fest. In a little over a week, one of the great phrases will be uttered, “Pitchers and Catchers Report!” And, I’m of the belief that Opening Day should be a national holiday! And, then there is the 162 game season. Obviously it’s much more fun when your team is winning, but that long journey from April to October is what it’s all about. 

However, there are those pesky three weeks between Twins Fest and the beginning of spring training. Generally, there won’t be any more transactions. The Super Bowl is done, and all we can do is wait. Once Spring Training starts, there will be plenty of storylines to follow!

So, on days like today, the best idea for a topic to discuss is: Predictions.

Predictions are always fun. We can voice our opinions and even if they seem funny now, after the long season, it’s possible to be right.  We probably won’t look back at them, but we can. So today, get your votes in for the following 2012 Twins awards:

1.) Twins Hitter of the Year 2012

2.) Twins Pitcher of the Year 2012

3.) Breakout/Surprise Offensive Player of the Year for the Twins 2012 (not necessarily the best hitter, but a guy who far exceeded expectations) -

4.) Breakout/Surprise Pitcher of the Year for the Twins 2012 (may not be the best pitcher, but really stepped up)

5.) Twins Rookie of the Year 2012

6.) Twins Minor League Hitter of the Year 2012

7.) Twins Minor League Pitcher of the Year 2012

Let’s stop with that for today. We can make more predictions as the season approaches. My votes would be:

1.) Joe Mauer – One injury-plagued season should not deter people from remembering how good he is!

2.) Francisco Liriano – It’s a contract year for him. If he wants to make any money, he better step up!

3.) Ben Revere – He made a lot happen last year in the field and on the bases, and he didn’t even hit well. Watch him actually get on base in 2012 and see what happens! Should be fun!

4.) Matt Capps – If he’s healthy, he is pretty good. Right now, people are very down on him, but he’s solid when healthy.

5.) Liam Hendriks – I believe that if any of the starters get hurt in June or early July, Hendriks will be the guy to step in. Parmelee could be the guy if Morneau can’t play.

6.) Oswaldo Arcia – Should be back completely at 100% Needs to cut down strikeout rate, but hits and hits for power to all fields.

7.) Alex Wimmers – many thought he would be last year, but it was a crazy season for the right-hander. He could jump 2-3 levels in 2012… we hope!

Get your predictions in today!

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25 Responses to “Prediction Time!”

  1. Glanzer February 7, 2012 at 9:41 am #

    1. Mauer
    2. Baker
    3. Parmelee
    4. Swarzak
    5. Parmelee
    6. Rosario
    7. Boer

  2. JimCrikket February 7, 2012 at 10:07 am #

    1.) Twins Hitter of the Year 2012: Mauer… If he has any pride at all, he’s got to be pissed off at how little respect he’s been getting.

    2.) Twins Pitcher of the Year 2012: Baker… Another guy that gets too little recognition for just how good he can be. Has to stay healthy.

    3.) Breakout/Surprise Offensive Player of the Year for the Twins 2012 (not necessarily the best hitter, but a guy who far exceeded expectations): Trevor Plouffe… What are the chances Revere, Span, Doumit, Morneau and Casilla all stay healthy and perform well? If any of them drop out, Plouffe will get most of their PAs and now that he’s seen MLB pitching, I expect him to get much better.

    4.) Breakout/Surprise Pitcher of the Year for the Twins 2012 (may not be the best pitcher, but really stepped up): Zumaya… this is more of a wish and a prayer than a prediction. If he can stay healthy, he could be a difference maker.

    5.) Twins Rookie of the Year 2012: Assuming Plouffe no longer qualifies, Hendriks seems like the most likely option. Hard to imagine too many others getting significant opportunities.

    6.) Twins Minor League Hitter of the Year 2012: Miguel Sano… going with the obvious, but I think he could beat up on MWL pitching. His chances drop if he’s promoted to Ft. Myers quickly.

    7.) Twins Minor League Pitcher of the Year 2012: BJ Hermsen… going with my Iowa boy. He doesn’t get the attention others do, but he’s steadily progressed up the ladder and needs a big year to start getting mentioned in the same breath as Hendriks and Gibson as a member of the Twins rotation of the near future.

  3. jhoffrey February 7, 2012 at 10:10 am #

    1.) Twins Hitter of the Year 2012 MAUER
    2.) Twins Pitcher of the Year 2012 LIRIANO
    3.) Breakout/Surprise Offensive Player of the Year for the Twins 2012 VALENCIA
    5.) Twins Rookie of the Year 2012 DOZIER
    6.) Twins Minor League Hitter of the Year 2012 PARMALEE
    7.) Twins Minor League Pitcher of the Year 2012 STUIFBERGEN or WIMMERS

  4. Nate Gilmore February 7, 2012 at 10:13 am #

    Hitter of the Year: Joe Mauer. Don’t call it a comeback!
    Pitcher of the Year: Scott Baker. Forget Liriano, Baker has the best chance to be the Twins’ ace.
    Breakout Player of the Year: Ben Revere. I predict a .350 OBP and 50 steals
    Rookie of the Year: Brian Dozier. He’ll be in the Majors by June.
    Minor League Hitter of the Year: Miguel Sano. Sorry to pick the obvious one here, but I really want Sano to rake in A ball.
    Minor League Pitcher of the Year: Alex Wimmers. I don’t think he’s the best pitcher in the minors, but he’s polished enough to rack up a ton of MiLB wins.

  5. Nate Gilmore February 7, 2012 at 10:15 am #

    Oops – forgot the breakout pitcher of the year. I’ll go with Alex Burnett. I think this is the year he finally becomes a good setup guy. I think he could use a month or two at AAA to build confidence, but he’ll contribute this year.

  6. Matt February 7, 2012 at 10:39 am #

    1. Doumit
    2. Perkins
    3. Parmelee
    4. Diamond
    5. Parmelee
    6. Sano
    7. Salcedo

  7. tenthinningstretch February 7, 2012 at 11:00 am #

    Here are mine:

    1.) Twins Hitter of the Year 2012

    – Joe Mauer

    2.) Twins Pitcher of the Year 2012

    – Fransisco Liriano

    3.) Breakout/Surprise Offensive Player of the Year for the Twins 2012

    – Trevor Plouffe

    4.) Breakout/Surprise Pitcher of the Year for the Twins 2012

    – Terry Doyle

    5.) Twins Rookie of the Year 2012

    – Terry Doyle

    6.) Twins Minor League Hitter of the Year 2012

    – Miguel Sano

    7.) Twins Minor League Pitcher of the Year 2012

    – Danny Osterbrock

  8. jeff February 7, 2012 at 12:02 pm #

    1-If it isn’t Mauer, this will be a really bad year for the Twins.
    2-Baker. I don’t really think that his year will be anything special, but it will be better than the rest of the staff.
    3-Valencia. It will be a year more similar to his rookie year than last year, and he will solidify 3rd base once and for all.
    4-Going with my heart on this one and picking Zumaya
    5-I really hope it isn’t Parmalee, because that means things probably went bad with Morneau. It could be Dozier because he will get some time in the middle infied. But I am going to go with Hendricks, because I think he will get a real opportunity in the rotation in place of either Blackburn or Marquis.
    6-Sano. Parmalee #2.
    7-Would love it to be Wimmers with a late season call up as a reward.
    4-

  9. Twins Fan February 7, 2012 at 12:41 pm #

    1. Joe Mauer – bats .278, 8 homers and 54 RBIs. Also makes several visits to the 15 day disabled list. Twins management tries to figure out how to unload his contract on another team.
    2. Carl Pavano – wins award in abstentia as he is traded to a contender prior to the trading deadline.
    3. Tsuyoshi Nishioka – exceeds beginning of the year expectations, of which there were none.
    4. Nick Blackburn – see 3 above.
    5. Award will not be given in 2012 due to lack of candidates.
    6 and 7. Miguel Sanos and Alex Wimmers or Alex Wimmers and Miguel Sanos.

  10. TT February 7, 2012 at 12:56 pm #

    Hitter – Morneau – this is spring, optimism is in the air and he’s a better hitter than Mauer
    Pitcher – Baker – He stays healthy all year.
    Surprise hitter – Plouffe – He hits 20+ home runs in limited roles
    Surprise pitcher – Oliveros – He dominates as a setup guy
    Rookie of the Year -Oliveros
    Minor League HOY – Miguel Sano – You said hitter, not player, and Sano is the best hitter
    Minor League POY – Adrian Salcedo – Dominates at Fort Myers and New Britain

  11. Jim H February 7, 2012 at 1:06 pm #

    I expect Blackburn to be healthy all year and as a result largely the Twins best starter, though nobody will acknowledge that because of his bad fips. Liriano will have good fips but will still be maddenly inconsistent. Henricks will come at up at some point(not soon enough for most bloggers) and be very, very good. Mauer will be healthy and great, Morneau will be pretty healthy and will take off in June. Revere and Valencia will both break out. Everyone will be crying for Dozier all year but Nishioka will take over at short and play just well enough to hold it all year. The bullpen will be the surprise strength of the team but they will get little from Zumaya. In the minors, there will be many canidates for pitcher of the year and Hicks will finally show his stuff and be hitter of the year.

  12. Shane Wahl February 7, 2012 at 1:47 pm #

    1.) Twins Hitter of the Year 2012: Joe Mauer

    2.) Twins Pitcher of the Year 2012: Francisco Liriano

    3.) Breakout/Surprise Offensive Player of the Year for the Twins 2012 (not necessarily the best hitter, but a guy who far exceeded expectations) – Trevor Plouffe

    4.) Breakout/Surprise Pitcher of the Year for the Twins 2012 (may not be the best pitcher, but really stepped up): Jaron Burger (Jared Burton or Jason Bulger–need one of these guys to step up as the RH Glen Perkins)

    5.) Twins Rookie of the Year 2012: Liam Hendriks (no way this rotation is going to hold up, so he will get a lot of starts)

    6.) Twins Minor League Hitter of the Year 2012: Aaron Hicks (yep).

    7.) Twins Minor League Pitcher of the Year 2012: Adrian Salcedo.

  13. peterb18 February 7, 2012 at 3:35 pm #

    TT————-Hitter – Morneau – this is spring, optimism is in the air and he’s a better hitter than Mauer

    Hope your right——-If Joe hits well then this could solve a lot of problems. As a side note,many of the hosts on MLB(XM radio) do not think that Morneau will make a comeback, or if he does–it will not be successful because of the concussions.

    • TT February 7, 2012 at 11:05 pm #

      I hope they are wrong. But I don’t think anyone really knows for sure. Certainly Cory Koskie is not a good example.

      But if Morneau does make a comeback to full strength, I think he is likely to hit better than Mauer.

      Its much the same reason I chose Sano. I started with Hicks as hitter of the year but he isn’t going to hit like Sano. Its his defense that will make him a better player. Its similar to Mauer and Morneau. Mauer is the better overall player, Morneau is the better hitter.

  14. mike wants wins February 7, 2012 at 3:58 pm #

    1.) Twins Hitter of the Year 2012 – Mauer, he’ll be healthy, and he’s a great hitter. I don’t think Morneau fully returns, and there isn’t really anyone else to challenge Mauer.

    2.) Twins Pitcher of the Year 2012 – Baker, stays healthy, a legit #2 type, and no one else on the staff is even a #4.

    3.) Breakout/Surprise Offensive Player of the Year for the Twins 2012 (not necessarily the best hitter, but a guy who far exceeded expectations) – Span, finally healthy again, people will remember why he’s the 3rd best hitter on this roster and a very good defender.

    4.) Breakout/Surprise Pitcher of the Year for the Twins 2012 (may not be the best pitcher, but really stepped up) – ummm, ummmm, I have no idea.

    5.) Twins Rookie of the Year 2012 – I don’t see an impact player, but that’s not the question. Casilla gets hurt again, and whoever comes up to play 2B wins this.

    6.) Twins Minor League Hitter of the Year 2012 – Sano, though I expect Benson to be good enough that bloggers are wondering why he’s not in the majors when Revere is.

    7.) Twins Minor League Pitcher of the Year 2012 – Wimmers, who has beaten his demons and is in AAA by the end of the year, easily.

  15. Pat McGauley February 7, 2012 at 4:48 pm #

    I like your analysis. Especially like your predictions for Ben Revere–he’s going to light it up.

  16. Ruth February 7, 2012 at 5:13 pm #

    1. Josh Willingham
    2. Scott Baker
    3. Rene Tosoni
    4. Terry Doyle
    5. Chris Parmelee
    6. Eddie Rosario
    7. Alex Wimmers

  17. Jay Sherman February 7, 2012 at 5:51 pm #

    1.) Twins Hitter of the Year 2012 – Ben Revere
    2.) Twins Pitcher of the Year 2012 – Carl Pavano
    3.) Breakout/Surprise Offensive Player of the Year for the Twins 2012 – Rene Tosoni
    5.) Twins Rookie of the Year 2012 – Brian Dozier
    6.) Twins Minor League Hitter of the Year 2012 – Chris Parmalee
    7.) Twins Minor League Pitcher of the Year 2012 – Andrew Albers

  18. Shane Wahl February 7, 2012 at 6:17 pm #

    By the way, Seth, is this just a way to delay the most ridiculously difficult part of the organizational depth chart?

  19. Han Joelo February 7, 2012 at 6:25 pm #

    Twins Hitter: Willingham–Drives in Span, Revere/Casillla, and Mauer, alot
    Twins Pitcher: Pavano–Durable, reliable, mustachioed (hopefully)
    Breakout: Casilla–Builds on winter league success, stays healthy
    Rookie: Hendriks–Steps in when Liriano falters/does great and gets traded.
    Minor Hitter: Arcia–He’ll be with the Twins in 2013
    Minor Pitcher: Who the hell knows. I’ll go Wimmers–ascends rapidly and will be 2013 rotation option.

  20. Rick February 7, 2012 at 8:52 pm #

    1) Morneau (file under wishful thinking)
    2) Capp (wishful thinking x5)
    3) Valencia — low expectations make him viable here
    4) Zoom-a (its a whishful thinking trend)
    5) Parmelee (hedging on my answer to part 1)
    6) Aaron Hicks — needs a big year, so throwing him some love to get on track
    7) BJ Hermsen

  21. AW February 8, 2012 at 2:08 pm #

    1. Has to be Mauer.
    2. Baker. He’ll stay healthy and continue to show what he did in the first half of 2011.
    3. Alexi Casilla. This will be the year he puts in together (I have no faith in that statement, but still).
    4. Zumaya. If he can stay at all healthy, it’s hard to imagine him being bad.
    5. Brian Dozier. He might not get a call-up until halfway through the season, but I think he’s got a great future ahead of him — and a better upside than Jamey Carroll.
    6. Miguel Sano will continue his domination.
    7. Alex Wimmers.

  22. TM February 8, 2012 at 2:20 pm #

    Twins HotY: Mauer – obviously
    Twins PotY: Liriano – it’s an even numbered year, history tells us that Liriano will pitch well
    Breakout Hitter: Valencia
    Breakout Pitcher: Zumaya – here’s to hoping
    RoY: Hendriks – tough pick between him and Parmelee, I just like Hendriks a lot
    Minor League HotY: Rosario
    Minor League PotY: Salcedo

  23. scruffyrube February 9, 2012 at 2:35 pm #

    Twins HotY: Mauer –if only to shut down the haters
    Twins PotY: Perkins –emerging as a legit shutdown reliever
    Breakout Hitter: Luke Hughes –makes enough adjustments to keep his average close to .300 and gets more patient at the plate
    Breakout pitcher: Lester Oliveros
    RoY: Joe Benson –after Willingham gets hurt, further complicating outfield situation
    Minor League HotY: Sano
    Minor League PotY: Wimmers

  24. Joe February 9, 2012 at 8:47 pm #

    today, get your votes in for the following 2012 Twins awards:

    1.) Joe Mauer: Coming back to health and in shape. Should be a given he bounces back.

    2.) Scott Baker: Finally all came together for Baker last year. Should tack on some more innings and get to 200+.

    3.) Justin Morneau: Do you remember how good he was before he got kneed in the head. Its been 2 years I’d like the think its coming back to health.

    4.)Nick Blackburn: Getting back to 08-09 form would be enormous and that is saying a lot where he was just at or below league average those years.

    5.) Brian Dozier: Casilla, Nishioka, Carrol….Can’t see how Dozier does not see playing time this year.

    6.)Travis Harrison: Seems to be a theme that we get excited for names to hit full season ball and another short season guy steals the spotlight. Harrison most likley to go to Appy League where power should play up huge.

    7.) Adrian Salcedo: Still is best all around starter in system in my opinion. Stuff is better then Gibson (when healthy) and Wimmers and he could take big steps in 2012

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